Planck thoughts

March 22, 2013

It’s great to see the Planck cosmic background radiation data released, so what is it telling us about the universe? First off the sky map now looks like this

Planck_CMB_565x318

Planck is the third satellite sent into space to look at the CMB and you can see how the resolution has improved in this picture from Wikipedia

PIA16874-CobeWmapPlanckComparison-20130321

Like the LHC, Planck is a European experiment. It was launched back in 2009 on an Ariane 5 rocket along with the Herschel Space Observatory. The US through NASA also contributed though.

The Planck data has given us some new measurements of key cosmological parameters. The universe is made up of  69.2±1.0% dark energy, 25.8±0.4% dark matter, and 4.82±0.05% visible matter. The percentage of dark energy increases as the universe expands while the ratio of dark to visible matter stays constant, so these figures are valid only for the present. Contributions to the total energy of the universe also includes a small amount of electromagnetic radiation (including the CMB itself) and neutrinos. The proportion of these is small and decreases with time.

Using the new Planck data the age of the universe is now 13.82 ± 0.05 billion years old. WMAP gave an answer of 13.77 ± 0.06 billion years. In the usual spirit of bloggers combinations we bravely assume no correlation of errors to get a combined figure of 13.80 ± 0.04 billion years, so we now know the age of the universe to within about 40 million years, less than the time since the dinosaurs died out.

The most important plot that the Planck analysis produced is the multipole analysis of the background anisotropy shown in this graph

Planck_power_spectrum_565w

This is like a fourier analysis done on the surface of a sphere are it is believed that the spectrum comes from quantum fluctuations during the inflationary phase of the big bang. The points follow the predicted curve almost perfectly and certainly within the expected range of cosmic variance given by the grey bounds. A similar plot was produced before by WMAP but Planck has been able to extend it to higher frequencies because of its superior angular resolution.

However, there are some anomalies at the low-frequency end that the analysis team have said are in the range of 2.5 to 3 sigma significance depending on the estimator used. In a particle physics experiment this would not be much but there is no look elsewhere effect to speak of here, any these are not statistical errors that will get better with more data. This is essentially the final result. Is it something to get excited about?

To answer that it is important to understand a little of how the multipole analysis works. The first term in a multipole analysis is the monopole which is just the average value of the radiation. For the CMB this is determined by the temperature and is not shown in this plot. The next multipole is the dipole. This is determined by our motion relative to the local preferred reference frame of the CMB so it is specified by three numbers from the velocity vector. This motion is considered to be a local effect so it is also subtracted off the CMB analysis and not regarded as part of the anisotropy. The first component that does appear is the quadrupole and as can be seen from the first point on the plot. The quadrupole is determined by 5 numbers so it is shown as an everage and a standard deviation.  As you can see it is significantly lower than expected. This was known to be the case already after WMAP but it is good to see it confirmed. This contributes to the 3 sigma anomaly but on its own it is more like a one sigma effect, so nothing too dramatic.

In general there is a multipole for every whole number l starting with l=0 for the monpole, l=1 for the dipole, l=2 for the quadrupole. This number l is labelled along the x-axis of the plot. It does not stop there of course. We have an octupole for l=3, a hexadecapole for l=4, a  dotriacontapole for l=5, a tetrahexacontapole for l=6, a octacosahectapole for l=7 etc. It goes up to l=2500 in this plot. Sadly I can’t write the name for that point. Each multipole is described by 2l+1 numbers. If you are familiar with spin you will recognise this as the number of components that describe a particle of spin l, it’s the same thing.

If you look carefully at the low-l end of the plot you will notice that the even-numbered points are low while the odd-numbered ones are high. This is the case up to l=8. In fact above that point they start to merge a range of l values into each point on the graph so this effect could extend further for all I know. Looking back at the WMAP plot of the same thing it seems that they started merging the points from about l=3 so we never saw this before (but some people did bevause they wrote papers about it). It was hidden, yet it is highly significant and for the Planck data it is responsible for the 3 sigma effect. In fact if they used an estimator that looked at the difference between odd and even points the significance might be higher.

There is another anomaly called the cold spot in the constellation of Eridanus. This is not on the axis of evil but it is terribly far off. Planck has also verified this spot first seen in the WMAP survey which is 70 µK cooler than the average CMB temperature.

What does it all mean? No idea!


Name A Very Large Radio Telescope Array

October 15, 2011

Do you remember the radio telescopes in the Film Contact where Jodie Foster and her team of geeks received the first haunting signal from alien intelligence? That was actually the Very Large Array run by the NRAO in Mew mexico and it has just finished a big upgrade to its electronic systems. They think that VLA is not a sufficiently imaginative and so they want to rename it but they also want the public to come up with the new name. You can very quickly and easily make a suggestion or several suggestions here.

I have already suggested “Carl Sagan Radio Observatory” and I am sure I will not be the only one using that theme. The BBC has gone for “Unfeasibly Large Telescopes”. There must be some more sophisticated ideas out there, so submit them and let us know.

 


ESA’s EUCLID to explore dark energy while NASA’a WFIRST is in doubt.

October 5, 2011

Just as the Nobel prize in physics is awarded for the discovery that points to dark energy, Europe’s space agency has announced that it will go ahead with it’s mission to map out the effects of dark energy on the distribution of galaxies over time. The mission christened EUCLID will be scheduled to launch in 2019 and will map the positions of galaxies out towards the edge of the observable universe. EUCLID was one of two missions that ESA announced yesterday under the banner “Dark and Bright“, the other being Solar Orbiter to launch in 2017.

ESA's EUCLID observatory

The news comes shortly after doubt was cast on the future of WFIRST a similar mission planned by NASA. The problem faced by the American Space Agency is that JWST, its ambitious next generation space-telescope, is over budget and absorbing funding from other projects.

The status of big science in the US has recently taken some big blows.  With the Tevatron bowing out to the superiority of Europe’s Large Hadron Collider and NASA’a manned space capability ending with the demise of the shuttle while China build’s up for a spectacular new space program, the days of US superiority in science seem to be fading into night. Many hopes now rest with the James-Webb Space Telescope which has the potential to be a ground breaking observatory especially for the exploration of the early universe, but the risk is high. The JWST is a complex instrument that will be sent to the Lagrange points far away from the Earth. Even if the US had a manned space program there would be no hope of servicing the mission as they did for the Hubble Space Telescope. It has to work first time and keep working. At least the American’s can still say they are bold.


Grail about to launch

September 8, 2011

NASA’s Grail mission is about to launch with destination the Moon.

The Delta II rocket will release two satellites into orbit above the lunar surface that will study the effect of gravitational anomalies on the flight trajectories. This will provide information about the internal density and structure of the Moon. They will also carry cameras to send back stereo 3D pictures of the moon surface.

Countdown is currently 4 minutes and holding.

Update: launch scrubbed for today due to bad weather. There are two launch windows tomorrow but forecast high winds may push the date back further.

When it does happen it will be covered on NASA TV

Update 10-Sep-2011: GRAIL has now launched

 

 

 


Juno set for launch

August 5, 2011

NASA is set to launch the billion dollar space probe Juno today. It is destined for a long voyage to Jupiter where it will enter orbit to study the planet and its moons in more detail then previous missions such as Galileo.  The journey will take six years and will include flybys of Mars and Earth to send it further out to the gas giant.

If all goes well the rocket will be sent into space on an ATLAS rocket in the next few minutes (12:25 local time). You can watch it on NASA TV.

Update: The launch was a success. Here is a recording in case you missed it.

 


Dawn approaches for Vesta

July 16, 2011

The NASA Dawn mission is approaching Vesta and should enter into obit tonight. We will know if it was successful tomorrow morning. It will stay in orbit around the asteroid for a year before gently pulling away using its ion drives to head out for Ceres which is now classified as a dwarf planet.

Studies of Vesta and Ceres could provide clues about the early formation of the solar system.

Update 17-Jul-2011: It has been confirmed that Dawn successfully entered orbit around Vesta.

Update 20-Jul-2011: This new picture now available


Last Shuttle Mission Waiting for Launch

July 8, 2011

The last NASA Space shuttle mission is on the launch pad with the countdown continuing at T minus 3 hours. Whether or not it flies today depends on the appraisal of the weather which is currently very overcast on the Florida coast. If you want to watch it you can go via the web to NASA TV

The mission is to fly to the International Space Station to deliver supplies and spare parts for the next year. After that they hope to find some new way to keep the ISS going. The Shuttle has just a four person crew, the smallest since some of the earliest flights. This is because there is no backup shuttle to rescue the astronauts if Atlantis is damaged and unsafe to return. Instead the crew would have to wait on the space station to be returned up to a year later on Russian craft.

Update: 


Lunar Eclipse in Progress

June 15, 2011

This is how the Moon looks near maximum eclipse as seen on Google/Slooh. Still a little time left to view it. Hope some of you have clear night skies unlike us!

In case you haven’t noticed you can see the eclipse live on the main google search page.

The intense red colour of the moon is due to light being refracted through the Earth’s atmosphere which scatters the blue light leaving just the red end of the spectrum to bathe the moon in a warm glow. The colour is said to have been deepened by dust from recent volcanoes.

In 2009 Japan’s Kaguya lunar orbiter took some spectacular pictures of a similar eclipse from lunar orbit. The Earth passes in front of the Sun making it look like a solar eclipse except that the Earth is bigger than the Moon so the Sun disappears for much longer. The atmosphere of the Earth continues to be illuminated by the Sun from behind like a continuous ring of twilight. In this sequence the eclipse was rising above the moon’s surface which blocked the beginning of the eclipse as aseen from the orbiter. In the final frame the Sun emerges again from behind the Earth.


Shaw Prizes for Enrico Costa, Gerald Fishman, Jules Hoffmann, Ruslan Medzhitov, Bruce Beutler, Demetrios Christodoulou and Richard Hamilton

June 7, 2011

Today seven scientists are up to $500,000 minus tax richer for having won this years Shaw Prizes.

Astronomy

First up are Enrico Costa and Gerald J Fishman for leading the NASA mission that resolved the origin of gamma ray bursts. It does not seem to many years ago since gamma-ray bursts were regarded as one of the great unsolved mysteries of science. They had first been detected in 1967 by the Vela satellites which had been placed in orbit by the US military to check that the USSR was not detonating nuclear weapons in contravention of the 1963 partial test ban treaty. Nuclear explosions would send gamma rays into space where the satellites would detect them. Instead they observed gamma ray bursts coming from space.

From 1973 when their existence was declassified until 1997, these events were so mysterious that astronomers could not even tell if they came from nearby in our galaxy or billions of years away across the universe. NASA launched the BeppoSAX satellite to try to resolve the question, In 1997 it observed a powerful gamma ray burst which left an afterglow long enough for Earth based telescopes to lock onto its location just 8 hours later. Now they could see that it came from a very distant galaxy.

The gamma rays are so bright at that distance that it is inconceivable that they are being radiated equally in all directions in such a short space of time. The amount of energy that would have to be concentrated into a small volume is juts not possible. It is thought that they come from energetic supernovae with a rapidly rotating remnant that focuses the gamma rays into a tight beam. we only see the burst for the small fraction of events where we happen to lie in the direction of the ray.

Life Science and Medicine

Next were Jules A Hoffmann, Ruslan M Medzhitov and Bruce Beutler for uncovering the biological mechanisms for innate immunity. When an animal or plant is infected it deploys a number of mechanisms to defend itself. One of the first is the innate immune system, thought to be one of the earliest mechanisms to evolve because it is so widespread across diverse forms of life. In plants it remains the dominant immune system, but advanced animals have developed more effective systems of adaptive immunity that can change to attack specific viruses or other contagents.

Understanding all forms of immunity is vital to medicine because it provides the knowledge needed to find drugs that help us fight diseases.

Mathematics

Finally, Demetrios Christodoulou and Richard S Hamilton won the mathematics prize for work on differential manifolds with implications for general relativity and the Poincaré conjecture.

When Grigori Perelman famously turned down the Fields medal and the million dollar Clay prize for resolving the Poincaré conjecture, he said that his reason was that other mathematicians such as Richard Hamilton has contributed just as much to the proof. He need not have been so concerned since Hamilton has now himself been recognized with a lucrative award.

It was Hamilton who discovered the theory of Ricci flow on differential manifolds that lead Perelman to his proof of the Thurston geometrization conjecture that was known to imply the truth of the Poincaré conjecture, a mathematical problem that had remained unsolved for a hundred years.

Demetrios Christodoulou is a mathematical physicist who worked for his doctorate at Princeton under the direction of John Wheeler. He is known for his extraordinarily difficult proof of the unsurprising fact that flat empty Minkowski space is stable under the action of nonlinear gravitational dynamics as described by general relativity.


Shuttle Endeavour ready to Launch

May 16, 2011

Endeavour is preparing to launch for its last mission of 16 days in which it will deliver CERNs Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer to the International Space Station. This experiment will measure cosmic ray fluxes and should be able to tell us if there is any antimatter at all in space. Within the Earth’s atmosphere we can detect only the byproducts of most cosmic ray collisions with the atmosphere or Earth itself. Only weakly interacting particles such as neutrinos can be detected directly. In space it is possible to measure directly the energy of cosmic ray particles before they collide, but you have to wait a long time to get a good sample.

The launch can be watched on NASA TV and is due soon

Update: the shuttle has launched on time.


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